Prediction Markets
Two ways to forecast — reputation-based or with real money. Professional tools for both.
Two paths, one goal
Prediction markets are trading platforms where you trade on the outcome of future events. Unlike sports betting, prices aren't set by a bookmaker but by supply and demand — like a stock exchange. We use two fundamentally different approaches:
Predict events and build reputation. No real money — pure skill measurement via Brier Score and simulated P&L. Three tiers: Community → AI → Expert. Free, legal, open to everyone.
Finance Forecasts ↗
Real money on regulated platforms. Supported by professional tools: Kelly Calculator, Expected Value Calculator, Value Signal Classifier and Directional Alpha Framework with 51 patterns.
Arbitrage →
Our prediction platforms
All predictions run through the Altus Alpha Prediction Hub — a vertical forecasting ecosystem for finance and football. Each platform has its own questions, experts and AI models.
Club predictions
Each of the 21 Bundesliga clubs has its own predictions page with matchday forecasts, season futures and transfer questions. Data is aggregated via the Akte API — Pinnacle as pricing oracle, Polymarket for real-money signals.
Professional trading tools
Those trading on regulated event markets with real money need the same discipline as a professional trader. Our tools help:
The European information advantage
Polymarket and Kalshi are US-centric. If you live in Europe, watch Sportschau, read kicker and understand the 50+1 dynamic, you have a structural information advantage. Plus the timezone: when Bundesliga news breaks in German media, most PM traders are still asleep. That's not coincidence — that's alpha.